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  1. WBCSD "Vision 2050" - Summary [PDF 1 MB, new window]
  2. WBCSD "Vision 2050" - Full Report [PDF 2.7 MB, new window]
    - Notice: For reference purposes only. The WBCSD "Vision 2050" is based on Hope Optimism and Technology - HOT:
    "Vision 2050 is a picture of the best possible outcome for the human population and the planet it lives on over the next four decades." (p. 3)
    "In 2050, around 9 billion people live well, and within the limits of the planet" [...]
    "The critical pathway includes: Addressing the development needs of billions of people, enabling education and economic empowerment, particularly of women, and developing radically more eco-efficient solutions, lifestyles and behavior
    Incorporating the cost of externalities, starting with carbon, ecosystem services and water
    Doubling of agricultural output without increasing the amount of land or water used
    Halting deforestation and increasing yields from planted forests
    Halving carbon emissions worldwide (based on 2005 levels) by 2050, with greenhouse gas emissions peaking around 2020 through a shift to low-carbon energy systems and highly improved demand-side energy efficiency
    Providing universal access to low-carbon mobility
    Delivering a four-to-tenfold improvement in the use of resources and materials" (p. 4)
    These citations are a shortlist of technocratic illusions!

  3. Peak Oil, Climate Change, Global Economic Recession, the Population Bomb, and ... - Slide show by Albert Bates Global Village Institute for Appropriate Technology [PDF 13.6 MB, new window]
    - Notice: Different scenarios are presented. It raises many questions.
    Compare: Scenarios at ecoglobe.ch

  4. Water Disaster [PPS 2.6 MB new window]

  5. Increasing Global Nonrenewable Natural Resource Scarcity - Prelude to Global Societal Collapse
    Note: All resources are "natural" - Soil fertility, forests, fossil water (aquifers), wildlife, fossil fuels, minerals, a normal climate. Most of these "resources" are non-renewable, even if theoretically forests can regrow and wildlife could reconstitute their habitual population sizes.
    Overexploitation of natural resources is destroying natural balances. Species become extinct. Natural balances are sometimes disturbed beyond "repair". Human interventions in natural balances almost always went astray and often produced more harm.
    In sum: depletion of natural resources includes all resources and is mostly irredeemable.
  6. "Après le Développement Durable?" [ppt 2 MB]
    Note: Présentation donnée par le prof. Dominique Bourg (Unil) à Genève en octobre 2011. Donne beaucoup de détails et graphiques sur l'épuisement des ressources, y compris le pic de pétrole.
  7. Peak Oil and the ensuing scenarios - Interview with Nicole Foss by Kim Hill on Radio New Zealand 23 March 2012 [16.5 MB]
  8. Jørgen Randers' presentation of his book "2052" on 7 May 2012 in Rotterdam: Transcript of the first 25 minutes of the book presentation, with audio and video links.

    Ihre Anregungen - Vos recommendations - Your feedback: welcomeecoglobe.org.
   
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